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The overall expansion of the next-generation market is fueled by the unstable global food situation and a domestic requirement for a stable supply

Next-Gen Aquaculture Market in Japan Surges to $452 Million

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Wednesday, October 15, 2025, 14:00 (GMT + 9)

Land-Based Systems Plateau Despite Global Growth, While Low-Fishmeal Feed Dominates Sector

The domestic Japanese market for next-generation aquaculture technologies is estimated to have reached ¥68.288 billion (approximately $452 million) in Fiscal Year (FY) 2024, according to a new survey by Yano Research Institute located in Nakano Ward, Tokyo. The total market, which covers five key sectors, is forecast to expand to ¥77.763 billion (about $515 million) by FY2029.

The largest segment by far is low-fishmeal feed, valued at ¥56.554 billion (about $374.8 million) in FY2024. Conversely, the market for land-based aquaculture systems (semi-circulating and closed-circulating) showed a slowdown in domestic growth, recording ¥9.946 billion (about $65.8 million) in FY2024 and only slightly dipping to an estimated ¥9.893 billion (about $65.4 million) by FY2029. Yano Research Institute attributes this to an expected slowdown in the construction of large-scale facilities after 2026.

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Source: by Yano Research Institute

Note 1. Based on manufacturer shipment value

Note 2. This covers next-generation aquaculture technologies in five areas: 1) smart aquaculture (automatic feeder systems and breeding management systems), 2) land-based aquaculture systems (semi-closed and closed circulation), 3) aquaponics, 4) low-fishmeal feed, and 5) insect feed.

Note that ② and ③ do not include buildings or land.

Note 3. Some insect feed (⑤) is included in the low fish meal feed.

Note 4: FY2025 figures are estimates, and FY2026 and beyond are forecasts.

Global Context and Other Trends:

This Japanese trend contrasts with the global land-based aquaculture market, which was valued at an estimated $5.915 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $15.253 billion by 2033, driven by the need for more sustainable and stable seafood production amidst declining wild fish stocks.

In Japan, growth is expected in other emerging fields:

  • Smart Aquaculture: Systems utilizing ICT for automatic feeding and breeding management are projected to more than double from ¥1.12 billion (about $7.4 million) in FY2024 to ¥2.823 billion (about $18.7 million) by FY2029.

  • Aquaponics: Combining fish and plant cultivation, this sector is gaining momentum and is forecast for significant expansion, from ¥563 million (about $3.7 million) to ¥1.798 billion (about $11.9 million) by FY2029. Research is also underway to develop seawater aquaponics to support Japan's high demand for saltwater fish.

  • Insect Feed: The smallest but rapidly expanding sector, valued at ¥105 million (about $0.7 million) in FY2024, is expected to increase more than fivefold to ¥538 million (about $3.6 million) by FY2029, largely due to its high-value-added properties that are believed to improve seafood immunity.

The overall expansion of the next-generation market is fueled by the unstable global food situation and a domestic requirement for a stable supply of farmed marine products, as Japan’s per capita seafood supply has been declining.

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